niuz

Famous election predictor Allan Lichtman makes US midterm forecast

1 source
One source
What the source said
The National
“Famous election predictor Allan Lichtman makes US midterm forecast”

Prof Allan Lichtman , who rose to fame when he predicted the 2016 election of Donald Trump using his "13 keys" system but later suffered embarrassment when he chose Kamala Harris to win in 2024, is back with a prediction for the midterm elections. Prof Lichtman, of American University, developed his 13 keys system in 1981 with his collaborator, mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok, analysing trends in presidential campaigns since 1860. He gained prominence in the decades after after he…

Read at The National
Is this point wrong? Tell us

Reported by one source so far. It is confirmed when a second, independent source reports the same thing.

How recent

The shading behind a date drains as it ages: full when new, three quarters at 1 hour, half at 6 hours, a quarter at 12 hours, empty after a day. The date is when the source published it.

Timeline

The line under a story shows when it was reported. Now is at the end. The shaded part runs from its first article to its latest; each mark is an article, taller where several came out within 15 minutes. In lists the line is the last two days, so stories compare; a faded start means the story began earlier. On a story page it runs from the first article to now.